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Automated discovery of food webs from ecological data using logic-based machine learning

机译:使用基于逻辑的机器学习从生态数据中自动发现食物网

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摘要

Networks of trophic links (food webs) are used to describe and understand mechanistic routes for translocation of energy (biomass) between species. However, a relatively low proportion of ecosystems have been studied using food web approaches due to difficulties in making observations on large numbers of species. In this paper we demonstrate that Machine Learning of food webs, using a logic-based approach called A/ILP, can generate plausible and testable food webs from field sample data. Our example data come from a national-scale Vortis suction sampling of invertebrates from arable fields in Great Britain. We found that 45 invertebrate species or taxa, representing approximately 25% of the sample and about 74% of the invertebrate individuals included in the learning, were hypothesized to be linked. As might be expected, detritivore Collembola were consistently the most important prey. Generalist and omnivorous carabid beetles were hypothesized to be the dominant predators of the system. We were, however, surprised by the importance of carabid larvae suggested by the machine learning as predators of a wide variety of prey. High probability links were hypothesized for widespread, potentially destabilizing, intra-guild predation; predictions that could be experimentally tested. Many of the high probability links in the model have already been observed or suggested for this system, supporting our contention that A/ILP learning can produce plausible food webs from sample data, independent of our preconceptions about "who eats whom." Well-characterised links in the literature correspond with links ascribed with high probability through A/ILP. We believe that this very general Machine Learning approach has great power and could be used to extend and test our current theories of agricultural ecosystem dynamics and function. In particular, we believe it could be used to support the development of a wider theory of ecosystem responses to environmental change.
机译:营养联系网络(食物网)用于描述和理解物种之间能量(生物质)转移的机械途径。然而,由于难以对大量物种进行观测,使用食物网方法研究了相对较低比例的生态系统。在本文中,我们证明了使用基于逻辑的方法(称为A / ILP)对食物网进行机器学习可以从现场样本数据中生成合理且可测试的食物网。我们的示例数据来自全国范围内英国耕地无脊椎动物的Vortis吸力采样。我们发现,假设有45种无脊椎动物物种或分类群(代表样本中约25%的无脊椎动物个体和约74%的无脊椎动物个体)之间存在关联。可以预见的是,毁灭性Collembola一直是最重要的猎物。假设通才和杂食甲壳虫是该系统的主要掠食者。然而,令我们惊讶的是,机器学习提出的甲壳类幼虫作为各种各样的猎物的掠食者的重要性。假设高概率联系是行会中广泛,可能破坏稳定的掠夺行为;可以通过实验验证的预测。该系统中已经观察到或建议了模型中的许多高概率链接,这支持了我们的观点,即A / ILP学习可以从样本数据中产生合理的食物网,而与我们对“谁吃谁”的先入为主无关。文献中特征明确的链接对应于通过A / ILP很有可能归因于的链接。我们认为,这种非常通用的机器学习方法具有强大的功能,可用于扩展和检验我们当前的农业生态系统动力学和功能理论。特别是,我们认为它可以用来支持更广泛的生态系统对环境变化的反应理论的发展。

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